10,368 days away
Dominic Ford, Editor
From the Moon feed
The Moon will reach full phase. At this time of the month, it is visible for much of the night, rising at around dusk and setting at around dawn.
October 2051: a supermoon?
This month, the moon reaches full phase at around the same time that its elliptical orbit also makes its closest approach to the Earth – called its perigee. In recent times it has become fashionable to describe such full moons as "supermoons" – a term which originated among astrologers in the late 1970s.
The Moon's distance from the Earth varies because its orbit is not perfectly circular – it is slightly oval-shaped, tracing out a path called an ellipse.
As the Moon traverses this elliptical path around the Earth each month, its distance varies by 14%, between 356,500 km at perigee (closest approach to the Earth) and 406,700 km at apogee (furthest from the Earth).
Its angular size also varies by the same factor, between 29.4 arcmin and 33.5 arcmin. When full moon coincides with perigee, it does appear very slightly brighter than at other times, but the difference is so small as to be imperceptible to the untrained eye.
The chart below shows the size of this month's full moon in comparison to the largest (perigee) and smallest (apogee) possible apparent size of a full moon, drawn to scale.
In 2051, two full moons occur close enough to perigee to qualify as "supermoons" by the most common definition of the term: those on 19 October and 18 November.
To emphasise the subtlety of the changes in the Moon's size, the plot below shows the variation in the apparent size of the Moon at each of its full moons in 2051.
The Moon illusion
Although the angular size of the Moon only changes by a very modest amount in reality, a very common optical illusion is that the Moon appears very much larger than it really is when it is close to the horizon. This is called the Moon illusion – and is nothing more than an optical illusion. Any photograph will reveal that the Moon is exactly the same size regardless of whether it appears on the horizon or directly overhead.
The reason why we perceive this optical illusion is hotly debated. However, it may explain why some people are convinced that the Moon appears larger on some nights than others, despite the actual changes in its true size being so small.
The Hunter's Moon
The sequence of full moons that fall through the year are sometimes assigned names such as the "Hunter's Moon", according to the months and seasons in which they fall. This practice has been popularised in recent decades by the Farmers' Almanac in the United States. The names used by that almanac claim to have ancient origins from Native American tribes. This claim has been examined in detail by Patricia Haddock's book Mysteries of the Moon (1992) and is partially true, but the selection of names is largely arbitrary.
Throughout history a great variety of different names have been given to the sequence of lunar cycles through the year, and modern lists of such names, such as those popularised by the Farmers' Almanac, tend to inevitably be a medley of names taken from many different cultures.
According to the Venerable Bede's De temporum ratione (The Reckoning of Time; 725 AD) – an authoritative account of the calendar used in Saxon England – the lunar month containing the first full moon after the September equinox (within autumn) was called the "month of the winter full moon (Winterfylleth)".
The biography of Charlemagne (circa 817–833 AD), written a few years after his death, gives a name of the "vintage month (Wīndume-mānod)" for the same lunar month.
Many almanacs state that the full moon which falls directly after the Harvest Moon is called the hunter's moon. This may fall in either October or November. The Oxford English Dictionary traces the term back to at least 1710. In 2051, this is the full moon of 19 October.
Observing the Moon in coming days
Over the nights following 19 October, the Moon will rise around an hour later each day, becoming prominent later in the night. Within a few days, it will only be visible in the pre-dawn and early-morning sky. By the time it reaches last quarter, a week after full moon, it will rise in the middle of the night and set at around noon.
The table below lists the rising and setting times of the moon in the days around full moon:
|14 Oct 2051||14:59||02:02||61%|
|15 Oct 2051||15:36||03:10||71%|
|16 Oct 2051||16:13||04:21||81%|
|17 Oct 2051||16:49||05:34||89%|
|18 Oct 2051||16:49||05:34||95%|
|19 Oct 2051||17:27||06:48||99%|
|20 Oct 2051||18:07||08:03||100%|
|21 Oct 2051||18:51||09:16||98%|
|22 Oct 2051||19:40||10:25||92%|
|23 Oct 2051||20:34||11:27||85%|
The exact moment of full moon
The exact moment of full moon is defined as the time when the Moon's ecliptic longitude is exactly 180° away from the Sun's ecliptic longitude, as observed from the center of the Earth. However, the Moon does not appear in any way special at this instant in time, and a full moon can be observed at any time of night.
At the moment it reaches full phase, the Moon will lie at a declination of 9°39'N in the constellation Pisces . It will lie at a distance of 356,000 km from the Earth.
The celestial coordinates of the Moon at the time it reaches full phase will be:
|Object||Right Ascension||Declination||Constellation||Angular Size|
The coordinates above are given in J2000.0.
The sky on 31 May 2023
|The sky on 31 May 2023|
12 days old
All times shown in EDT.
The circumstances of this event were computed using the DE430 planetary ephemeris published by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL).
This event was automatically generated by searching the ephemeris for planetary alignments which are of interest to amateur astronomers, and the text above was generated based on an estimate of your location.
|19 Oct 2051||– Full Moon|
|26 Oct 2051||– Moon at Last Quarter|
|03 Nov 2051||– New Moon|
|11 Nov 2051||– Moon at First Quarter|
Simulated image courtesy of Tom Ruen.