Comet C/2010 X1 (Elenin) is forecast to reach the brightest point in its 2011 apparition on 15 October. At that time, it will lie at a distance of 0.85 AU from the Sun, and at a distance of 0.20 AU from the Earth.

From Cambridge on 15 October it will be visible in the dawn sky, rising at 03:15 (EDT) – 3 hours and 40 minutes before the Sun – and reaching an altitude of 27° above the eastern horizon before fading from view as dawn breaks at around 05:48.

The events that comprise the 2011 apparition of C/2010 X1 (Elenin) are as follows:

The table below lists the times when C/2010 X1 (Elenin) will be visible from Cambridge day-by-day through its apparition:

A more detailed table of C/2010 X1 (Elenin)'s position on each night is available here. A diagram of the orbit of C/2010 X1 (Elenin) is available here.

Finder chart

The chart below shows the path of C/2010 X1 (Elenin) over the course of its apparition, as calculated from the orbital elements published by the Minor Planet Center (MPC). It is available for download, either on dark background, in PNG, PDF or SVG formats, or on a light background, in PNG, PDF or SVG formats. It was produced using StarCharter.

Comet brightnesses

Comets are intrinsically highly unpredictable objects, since their brightness depends on the scattering of sunlight from dust particles in the comet's coma and tail. This dust is continually streaming away from the comet's nucleus, and its density at any particular time is governed by the rate of sublimation of the ice in the comet's nucleus, as it is heated by the Sun's rays. It also depends on the amount of dust that is mixed in with that ice. This is very difficult to predict in advance, and can be highly variable even between successive apparitions of the same comet.

In consequence, while the future positions of comets are usually known with a high degree of confidence, their future brightnesses are not. For most comets, we do not publish any magnitude estimates at all. For the few comets where we do make estimates, we generally prefer the BAA's magnitude parameters to those published by the Minor Planet Center, since they are typically updated more often.

No estimate for the brightness of comet C/2010 X1 (Elenin) is currently available.

The comet's position on 15 October 2011 will be:

The coordinates are given in J2000.0.

The sky on 14 Mar 2025

Source

This event was automatically generated on the basis of orbital elements published by the Minor Planet Center (MPC) , and is updated whenever new elements become available. It was last updated on 23 Feb 2025.

Image credit

© Andy Roberts 1997. Pictured comet is C/1995 O1 Hale-Bopp.

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