Comet 12P/Pons-Brooks is forecast to reach the brightest point in its 2024 apparition on 21 April. At that time, it will lie at a distance of 0.78 AU from the Sun, and at a distance of 1.61 AU from the Earth.

From Cambridge on 21 April it will not be observable – it will reach its highest point in the sky during daytime and will be no higher than 0° above the horizon at dusk.

The events that comprise the 2024 apparition of 12P/Pons-Brooks are as follows:

The table below lists the times when 12P/Pons-Brooks will be visible from Cambridge day-by-day through its apparition:

A more detailed table of 12P/Pons-Brooks's position on each night is available here. A diagram of the orbit of 12P/Pons-Brooks is available here.

Finder chart

The chart below shows the path of 12P/Pons-Brooks over the course of its apparition, as calculated from the orbital elements published by the Minor Planet Center (MPC). It is available for download, either on dark background, in PNG, PDF or SVG formats, or on a light background, in PNG, PDF or SVG formats. It was produced using StarCharter.

Click to expand »

Comet brightnesses

Comets are intrinsically highly unpredictable objects, since their brightness depends on the scattering of sunlight from dust particles in the comet's coma and tail. This dust is continually streaming away from the comet's nucleus, and its density at any particular time is governed by the rate of sublimation of the ice in the comet's nucleus, as it is heated by the Sun's rays. It also depends on the amount of dust that is mixed in with that ice. This is very difficult to predict in advance, and can be highly variable even between successive apparitions of the same comet.

In consequence, while the future positions of comets are usually known with a high degree of confidence, their future brightnesses are not. For most comets, we do not publish any magnitude estimates at all. For the few comets where we do make estimates, we generally prefer the BAA's magnitude parameters to those published by the Minor Planet Center, since they are typically updated more often.

Based on the magnitude parameters published for this comet by the BAA Comet Section, we estimate that it may be around mag 5 on 21 April 2024. This estimate is based on observations that the BAA has received from amateur astronomers, assuming that its current level of activity will remain constant.

The comet's position on 21 April 2024 will be:

The coordinates are given in J2000.0.

The sky on 21 Apr 2024

Source

This event was automatically generated on the basis of orbital elements published by the Minor Planet Center (MPC) , and is updated whenever new elements become available. It was last updated on 13 Oct 2024.

Image credit

© Andy Roberts 1997. Pictured comet is C/1995 O1 Hale-Bopp.

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